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What Does the Positive Outcome of the SELECT Trial Mean For People Living With Obesity?

Novo Nordisk released the topline results of the SELECT trial, showing a 20% reduction in composite endpoint of CV death, nonfatal MI or nonfatal stroke compared to placebo.

This is no doubt a landmark achievement, given that enrolment into the SELECT Trial was limited to individuals with overweight or obesity and established cardiovascular disease (CVD) but WITHOUT diabetes. The main question that pops up is whether or not these findings are related to and largely explained by the weight-loss effects of semaglutide. Indeed, at this point we don’t even know how much weight the treatment group lost or sustained over the five year duration of the study. But if we assume that people on semaglutide did experience and sustained more weight-loss than those on placebo, and that there may even be a demonstrable dose-effect relationship, such that those who lost the most weight experienced the greatest benefit, one should hope that this study will make a strong case for better access to obesity treatments – at least for people with overweight or obesity who also have established CVD. However, for younger people with excess weight not (yet) presenting with established CVD, even if they are experiencing other health problems that may be improved by obesity treatments, SELECT may change little. Demonstrating that early treatment of obesity will reduce morbidity and perhaps mortality in those with EOSS Stage 2 or even Stage 1 obesity, would require a much larger and probably longer study and is unlikely to happen anytime soon. On a more positive note, however, SELECT should clearly reassure us that the long-term use of 2.4 mg semaglutide, even in high-CV-risk individuals, is rather safe and may even save lives. This alone is a major landmark in terms of medical treatments for people living with obesity.

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